Donald Trump Has a Better Chance of Winning against Joe Biden in 2024 than He Had in 2020

Normally it would be foolish to attempt to unseat a politician by setting him up against the opponent he most recently defeated, but the unusual way Joe Biden achieved victory in 2020 makes nominating Donald Trump again in 2024 a plausible strategy for the Republicans.

It was unusual that Joe Biden won the 2020 presidential election because he ran on a lack of negatives rather than on any positives, as “not Trump” rather than as “Joe Biden.” This strategy usually fails, as it did in 2012 when Mitt Romney ran as “not Obama.”